Guimaraes vs Moreirense: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 30, 2026 at 08:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
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What was the result of Guimaraes vs Moreirense?
Guimaraes won 1-0 on January 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 66′SamuGuimaraes (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Moreirense have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 2-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 3, 2026 | AVS(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Estrela(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guimaraes win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Moreirense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Moreirense 2-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Moreirense 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Moreirense 1-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Moreirense 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Moreirense vs Guimaraes on Aug 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Moreirense score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Moreirense | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 16th in Primeira Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Moreirense sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Guimaraes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy