Amazulu vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Princess Magogo Stadium, Durban
The Footlab model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Amazulu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amazulu vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns starts as the favourite with a 244-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amazulu have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 3-4 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 3-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 3-2 | 8 Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Amazulu win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Mamelodi Sundowns win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Amazulu 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Amazulu | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Amazulu | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 24, 2024 | Amazulu 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Amazulu | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Amazulu 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Amazulu vs Mamelodi Sundowns on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Amazulu score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazulu | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amazulu sit 4th in Premier Soccer League (7 points from 3 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amazulu vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Amazulu.
- Where and when is Amazulu vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Amazulu vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Princess Magogo Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.