America Mineiro vs Guaratinguetá: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 11Kick-off on July 18, 2012 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of America Mineiro vs Guaratinguetá?
America Mineiro won 2-1 on July 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 27′Alessandro Nunes NascimentoAmerica Mineiro
- 30′Leandro Goncalves CostaGuaratinguetá
- 89′Adeílson Pereira de MelloAmerica Mineiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America Mineiro have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 2, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2012 | Goias(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 27, 2012 | Grêmio Barueri(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 20, 2012 | RB Bragantino(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 16, 2012 | Avai(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2012 | ASA(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2012 | São Caetano(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 27, 2012 | Goias(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Avai(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 16, 2012 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
America Mineiro score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Guaratinguetá score 1.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Guaratinguetá | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0 | 7/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | America Mineiro | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 39 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy