ASA vs Vitoria: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 11Kick-off on July 17, 2012 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca, Alagoas
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What was the result of ASA vs Vitoria?
Vitoria won 2-3 on July 17, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 9′Marcos Antônio da Silva GonçalvesVitoria
- 50′Nino ParaíbaVitoria
- 61′Victor RamosVitoria
- 66′Lucio MaranhãoASA
- 69′Jose Roberto Nascimento VianaASA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, ASA have 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Vitoria have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Avai(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | ABC(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 20, 2012 | America-RN(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Criciuma(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2012 | Parana(home) | 4-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | ABC(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Avai(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Goias(away) | 3-4 | Serie B |
| Jun 13, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ASA score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 10; Vitoria score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
| Vitoria | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy