America-RN vs Parana: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 9, 2013 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Estádio José Nazareno do Nascimento, Goianinha, Rio Grande do Norte
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What was the result of America-RN vs Parana?
America-RN won 4-1 on October 9, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 12′RégisAmerica-RN
- 20′Márcio Henrique Maia PassosAmerica-RN
- 40′Max Brendon Costa PinheiroAmerica-RN
- 44′Ronaldo MendesParana
- 67′Rodrigo PimpãoAmerica-RN
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America-RN have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Parana have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2013 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2013 | RB Bragantino(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2013 | Joinville(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2013 | Avai(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2013 | America Mineiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 29, 2013 | ASA(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Figueirense(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2013 | Paysandu(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 America-RN win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Parana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2013 | Parana 4-0 America-RN | Serie B |
| Oct 16, 2012 | America-RN 2-1 Parana | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Parana 1-0 America-RN | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
America-RN score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Parana score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America-RN | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Parana | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy