Amiens vs Caen: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne, Amiens
The Footlab AI model makes Amiens the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Caen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Amiens wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amiens vs Caen?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Amiens (1,809) and Caen (1,802).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amiens vs Caen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amiens
3-4-3- 32L. Diakite
- 26C. Mbondi
- 15M. Colin
- 22R. Boissier
- 8C. Suljic
- 19A. Nuss
- 17A. Giacomini
- 3A. Julloux
- 25E. Genton
- 4K. Mbala
- 40Y. Pandor
Caen
4-3-3- 9F. El Khoumisti
- 20Keelyan Portut
- 10I. Botella
- 24Léo Milliner
- 25Z. Bagbema
- 18J. Bomo
- 3D. Bolumbu
- 23L. Carole
- 12D. Appiah
- 5Y. Diaby
- 16Y. Clémentia
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amiens have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Caen have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Quevilly(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Amiens win, 1 draw, 4 Caen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | Amiens 2-1 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Caen 2-1 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Caen 2-0 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Amiens 0-0 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| May 20, 2023 | Amiens 1-3 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Caen 3-1 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Amiens score 1.4 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Caen score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 1.4 | 0.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Caen | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amiens sit 5th in Ligue 3 (15 points from 9 matches) and Caen sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Amiens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Amiens vs Caen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amiens vs Caen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Amiens the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Caen.
- Where and when is Amiens vs Caen played?
- Amiens vs Caen is played on November 21, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.