Amiens vs Valenciennes: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 26Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne, Amiens
The Footlab model makes Amiens the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Valenciennes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amiens vs Valenciennes?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Amiens (1,716) and Valenciennes (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amiens have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Valenciennes have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caen(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Amiens win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Valenciennes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Valenciennes 0-1 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Amiens 0-0 Valenciennes | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Amiens 0-2 Valenciennes | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Valenciennes 1-1 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Valenciennes 0-2 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Amiens 3-0 Valenciennes | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Valenciennes vs Amiens on Jan 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Amiens score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Valenciennes score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Valenciennes | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amiens sit 16th in Ligue 3 (1 points from 3 matches) and Valenciennes sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Valenciennes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Amiens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amiens vs Valenciennes?
- The Footlab model makes Amiens the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Valenciennes.
- Where and when is Amiens vs Valenciennes played?
- Amiens vs Valenciennes is played on March 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.