La Roche VF vs Caen: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 26Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Henri Desgrange, La Roche-sur-Yon
The Footlab AI model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Caen. The most likely score is 1-1. If La Roche VF wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Roche VF vs Caen?
La Roche VF starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,790).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Roche VF vs Caen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Roche VF
4-2-3-1- 9M. M. Samb
- 10M. Ndiaye
- 26J. Beaulieu
- 2M. Mahop
- 20Alexis Araújo
- 8K. Bensoula
- 18M. Rabuel
- 29G. Violleau
- 5T. Allemand
- 27H. Lamy
- 1I. Ahamada
Caen
4-3-3- 9F. El Khoumisti
- 20Keelyan Portut
- 10I. Botella
- 24Léo Milliner
- 25Z. Bagbema
- 18J. Bomo
- 3D. Bolumbu
- 23L. Carole
- 12D. Appiah
- 5Y. Diaby
- 16Y. Clémentia
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Roche VF have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Caen have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aubagne(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Villefranche(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Quevilly(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
La Roche VF score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Caen score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Roche VF | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Caen | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Roche VF sit 1st in Ligue 3 (21 points from 9 matches) and Caen sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 21 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
A question about La Roche VF vs Caen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Roche VF vs Caen?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Caen.
- Where and when is La Roche VF vs Caen played?
- La Roche VF vs Caen is played on March 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Henri Desgrange, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.