Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 26Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint-Marcel
The Footlab model makes Le Puy Foot the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?
Le Puy Foot starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,868 vs 1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Le Puy Foot have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Aubagne have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Caen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bastia(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| May 15, 2026 | Caen(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Le Puy Foot win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Aubagne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Le Puy Foot 1-2 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Aubagne 1-4 Le Puy Foot | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Le Puy Foot 1-2 Aubagne | National 2 - Group A |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Aubagne 0-0 Le Puy Foot | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Aubagne 2-0 Le Puy Foot | Coupe de France |
Last archived meeting: Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Le Puy Foot score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aubagne score 0.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Puy Foot | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Aubagne | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Le Puy Foot sit 6th in Ligue 3 (6 points from 3 matches) and Aubagne sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Le Puy Foot | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 18 | Aubagne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?
- The Footlab model makes Le Puy Foot the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne played?
- Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne is played on March 27, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Charles Massot, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.