Match

Ammerthal vs Nordlingen: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 11Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Ammerthal, Ammerthal

AmmerthalNordlingen

The Footlab model makes Ammerthal the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Nordlingen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ammerthal vs Nordlingen?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Ammerthal (1,650) and Nordlingen (1,707).

Ammerthal win39 %
Draw24 %
Nordlingen win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ammerthal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Nordlingen have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ammerthal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gebenbach(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Stadeln(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Weiden(away)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Bayern Hof(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Nordlingen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Neudrossenfeld(away)4-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Ingolstadt II(home)3-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026Großbardorf(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Würzburger FV(away)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 1, 2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home)0-4Oberliga - Bayern Nord

How many goals should we expect?

Ammerthal score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nordlingen score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ammerthal1.12.3210/159/15
Nordlingen1.32.3110/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Ammerthal349817435135

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ammerthal vs Nordlingen?
The Footlab model makes Ammerthal the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Nordlingen.
Where and when is Ammerthal vs Nordlingen played?
Ammerthal vs Nordlingen is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Ammerthal, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ammerthal and Nordlingen

Ready to know everything about football?