Weiden vs Gebenbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 11Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sparda-Bank-Stadion, Weiden/Oberpfalz
The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Weiden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiden vs Gebenbach?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Weiden (1,742) and Gebenbach (1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiden have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gebenbach have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Weiden win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gebenbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Gebenbach 0-1 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Weiden 0-0 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Gebenbach 1-3 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Weiden 1-1 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Weiden 4-5 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 15, 2022 | Gebenbach 2-1 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gebenbach score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiden | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Gebenbach | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weiden sit 6th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (50 points from 32 matches) and Gebenbach sit 4th (53 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gebenbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 53 |
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiden vs Gebenbach?
- The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Weiden.
- Where and when is Weiden vs Gebenbach played?
- Weiden vs Gebenbach is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sparda-Bank-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026GroßbardorfvsEintracht Bamberg
- Sep 18, 2026KornburgvsViktoria Aschaffenburg
- Sep 18, 2026ChamvsNeudrossenfeld
- Sep 19, 2026DJK BambergvsIngolstadt II
- Sep 19, 2026Fortuna RegensburgvsStadeln
- Sep 19, 2026ASV NeumarktvsWürzburger FV
- Sep 19, 2026Bayern HofvsJahn Regensburg II
- Sep 20, 2026AmmerthalvsNordlingen