Match

Cham vs Neudrossenfeld: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 11Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kappenberger Sportzentrum, Cham

ChamNeudrossenfeld

The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Neudrossenfeld. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cham vs Neudrossenfeld?

Cham starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,678).

Cham win66 %
Draw19 %
Neudrossenfeld win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Neudrossenfeld have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home)4-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Jahn Regensburg II(away)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Gebenbach(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Stadeln(away)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Neudrossenfeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nordlingen(home)1-4Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Würzburger FV(away)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 8, 2026Jahn Regensburg II(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Gebenbach(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cham win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Neudrossenfeld win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Cham 1-0 NeudrossenfeldOberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2025Neudrossenfeld 1-0 ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord
Apr 4, 2025Neudrossenfeld 1-0 ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord
Oct 15, 2024Cham 3-0 NeudrossenfeldOberliga - Bayern Nord
Feb 24, 2024Cham 0-0 NeudrossenfeldOberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 19, 2023Neudrossenfeld 1-4 ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: Cham vs Neudrossenfeld on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Neudrossenfeld score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cham2.10.966/158/15
Neudrossenfeld1.51.7311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cham sit 2nd in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (62 points from 33 matches) and Neudrossenfeld sit 11th (42 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Cham331887623562
11Neudrossenfeld3212614475342

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cham vs Neudrossenfeld?
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Neudrossenfeld.
Where and when is Cham vs Neudrossenfeld played?
Cham vs Neudrossenfeld is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kappenberger Sportzentrum, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cham and Neudrossenfeld

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