FC Serpa vs Lajense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sintético Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião, Serpa
The Footlab AI model makes FC Serpa the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Lajense. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Serpa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Serpa vs Lajense?
On Elo ratings, FC Serpa has 1,905 points and Lajense 1,816.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Serpa vs Lajense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Serpa
Not enough data to predict the FC Serpa lineup.
Lajense
Not enough data to predict the Lajense lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Serpa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lajense have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sintrense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lagoa(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | 1º Dezembro(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | 1º Dezembro(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Juventude Évora(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Amora(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 0-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real(away) | 5-5 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Serpa score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lajense score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Serpa | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Lajense | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Serpa | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 27 | 45 |
A question about FC Serpa vs Lajense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Serpa vs Lajense?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Serpa the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Lajense.
- Where and when is FC Serpa vs Lajense played?
- FC Serpa vs Lajense is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sintético Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.