Amora vs Vitoria Setubal: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Medideira, Amora
The Footlab AI model makes Vitoria Setubal the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Amora. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitoria Setubal wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amora vs Vitoria Setubal?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Amora (1,889) and Vitoria Setubal (1,961).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amora vs Vitoria Setubal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amora
4-3-3- 71D. Semedo
- 17E. Furtado
- 7Miguel Lopes
- 8Mauro Antunes
- 28Hélio Cruz
- 88Caires
- 25Tiago Duque
- 37Wendel
- 6Renzo Trotta
- 13Miguel Lopes
- 47H. Correia
Vitoria Setubal
4-3-3- HHeliardo
- TTuga
- JJoca Monteiro
- RR. Omrani
- FFrancisco Ascenso
- DDiogo Fernandes Martins
- LLourenço Henriques
- SSamir Banjai
- JJoão Marouca
- DDiogo Sequeira
- TTiago Neto
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amora have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Vitoria Setubal have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lagoa(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lajense(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 3-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | 1º Dezembro(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Real(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcains(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventude Évora(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lajense(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Amora(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Amora wins, 2 draws, 1 Vitoria Setubal win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal 1-3 Amora | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Amora 2-0 Vitoria Setubal | Liga 3 |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Vitoria Setubal 0-0 Amora | Liga 3 |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Amora 1-0 Vitoria Setubal | Liga 3 |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Vitoria Setubal 1-0 Amora | Liga 3 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Vitoria Setubal 1-1 Amora | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H |
Last archived meeting: Vitoria Setubal vs Amora on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Amora score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vitoria Setubal score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amora | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Vitoria Setubal | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Amora | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 57 |
A question about Amora vs Vitoria Setubal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amora vs Vitoria Setubal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitoria Setubal the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Amora.
- Where and when is Amora vs Vitoria Setubal played?
- Amora vs Vitoria Setubal is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio da Medideira, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.