Portel vs Alcochetense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Alcochetense the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Portel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcochetense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portel vs Alcochetense?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Portel (1,794) and Alcochetense (1,887).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portel vs Alcochetense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portel
Not enough data to predict the Portel lineup.
Alcochetense
Not enough data to predict the Alcochetense lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Portel have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Alcochetense have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olhanense(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aljustrelense(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Juventude Évora(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Messejanense(away) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santa Clara B(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Aljustrelense(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CF Benfica(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fayal(home) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Portel wins, 1 draw, 0 Alcochetense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alcochetense 2-2 Portel | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Alcochetense vs Portel on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portel score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 10; Alcochetense score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portel | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 4/10 | 6/10 |
| Alcochetense | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
A question about Portel vs Alcochetense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portel vs Alcochetense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcochetense the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Portel.
- Where and when is Portel vs Alcochetense played?
- Portel vs Alcochetense is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.