FC Serpa vs Real: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sintético Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião, Serpa
The Footlab AI model makes FC Serpa the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Serpa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Serpa vs Real?
FC Serpa starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,920 vs 1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Serpa vs Real
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Serpa
Not enough data to predict the FC Serpa lineup.
Real
4-3-3- RRonaldo Mendes
- DDiogo Nascimento
- JJoão Araújo
- GGabriel Saalfeld
- CC. Acosta
- TTomás Marçalo
- EElson Patrício Tavares Mendes
- AA. Ibrahim
- IIvo Cláudio
- RRogério Fernandes
- HHugo Mosca
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Serpa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sintrense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lagoa(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | 1º Dezembro(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Panambi(home) | 3-3 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | EC Novo Horizonte(away) | 9-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Santa Clara B(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Farroupilha(home) | 4-0 | Gaúcho - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 FC Serpa win, 2 draws, 0 Real wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real 1-1 FC Serpa | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Real 0-1 FC Serpa | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 8, 2023 | FC Serpa 2-2 Real | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Serpa score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Serpa | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Real | 2.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Serpa | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 27 | 45 |
A question about FC Serpa vs Real?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Serpa vs Real?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Serpa the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real.
- Where and when is FC Serpa vs Real played?
- FC Serpa vs Real is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sintético Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.