Ancona vs Pietralunga: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio del Conero, Ancona
The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Pietralunga. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ancona vs Pietralunga?
Ancona starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,587).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ancona vs Pietralunga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Pietralunga
Not enough data to predict the Pietralunga lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ancona have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Pietralunga have 1, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Ancona score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pietralunga score 0.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancona | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Pietralunga | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ancona sit 4th in Serie D - Girone F (14 points from 7 matches) and Pietralunga sit 16th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 16 | Pietralunga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Ancona vs Pietralunga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ancona vs Pietralunga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Pietralunga.
- Where and when is Ancona vs Pietralunga played?
- Ancona vs Pietralunga is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio del Conero, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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