Santegidiese vs Ancona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Santegidiese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ancona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santegidiese vs Ancona?
Ancona starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,601).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santegidiese vs Ancona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santegidiese
Not enough data to predict the Santegidiese lineup.
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Santegidiese have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ancona have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Santegidiese score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 6; Ancona score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santegidiese | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1 | 4/6 | 2/6 |
| Ancona | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santegidiese sit 11th in Serie D - Girone F (8 points from 7 matches) and Ancona sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Santegidiese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Santegidiese vs Ancona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santegidiese vs Ancona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Santegidiese.
- Where and when is Santegidiese vs Ancona played?
- Santegidiese vs Ancona is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 18, 2027RecanatesevsTermoli Calcio
- Apr 18, 2027NotarescovsVigor Senigallia
- Apr 18, 2027L'AquilavsLanciano FC
- Apr 18, 2027AngelanavsReal Giulianova
- Apr 18, 2027Montecchio GallovsFossombrone
- Apr 18, 2027PietralungavsTeramo