Where and when is Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty played?

Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Lotto Park, in the UEFA Europa League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Lotto Park, Bruxelles (Brussel)

Anderlecht

Kairat Almaty

The Footlab model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Kairat Almaty. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

Anderlecht starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (2,024 vs 1,811).

Anderlecht win62 %

Draw21 %

Kairat Almaty win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anderlecht have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kairat Almaty have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Anderlecht
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Kairat Almaty(away)	3-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 16, 2026	SK Beveren(away)	0-1	Jupiler Pro League
Aug 13, 2026	PAOK(home)	3-2	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	RAAL La Louvière(home)	2-1	Jupiler Pro League
Aug 6, 2026	PAOK(away)	1-0	UEFA Europa League

Kairat Almaty
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Anderlecht(home)	0-3	UEFA Europa League
Aug 15, 2026	Ulytau(home)	3-1	Premier League
Aug 11, 2026	Levski Sofia(home)	0-1	UEFA Champions League
Aug 4, 2026	Levski Sofia(away)	0-1	UEFA Champions League
Jul 29, 2026	Omonia Nicosia(home)	1-0	UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Anderlecht win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kairat Almaty win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Kairat Almaty 0-3 Anderlecht	UEFA Europa League

Last archived meeting: Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht on Aug 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Anderlecht score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kairat Almaty score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Anderlecht	1.5	1.7	2	11/15	10/15
Kairat Almaty	1.9	0.9	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Anderlecht	8	4	2	2	14	12	14

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?: The Footlab model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Kairat Almaty.
Where and when is Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty played?: Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Lotto Park, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.