Andratx vs Constància: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal Sa Plana, Andratx
The Footlab model makes Andratx the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Constància. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Andratx vs Constància?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Andratx (1,815) and Constància (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Andratx have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Constància have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 5-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 17, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 10, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Rotlet Molinar(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Andratx win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Constància win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | Constància 1-0 Andratx | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Andratx 1-1 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Andratx 0-1 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Constància 0-2 Andratx | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Andratx 0-1 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Constància vs Andratx on Feb 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Andratx score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Constància score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andratx | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Constància | 2.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Constància | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62 | 29 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Andratx vs Constància?
- The Footlab model makes Andratx the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Constància.
- Where and when is Andratx vs Constància played?
- Andratx vs Constància is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal Sa Plana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.