Migjorn vs Mercadal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Mercadal the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Migjorn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mercadal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Migjorn vs Mercadal?
Mercadal starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,567).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Migjorn vs Mercadal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Migjorn
4-3-3- KKevin Grajales
- AAlberto Garrido
- FFabri
- NNnabama
- IIker Coll
- HHector Riudavets
- KKoke
- RRaúl Villalonga
- JJonathan Seguí
- MMarc Rovellada
- LLlori
Mercadal
Not enough data to predict the Mercadal lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Migjorn have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Mercadal have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Platges Calvià(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Binissalem(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Migjorn wins, 0 draws, 2 Mercadal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Migjorn 0-2 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Mercadal 2-0 Migjorn | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Migjorn score 0.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mercadal score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Migjorn | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mercadal | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Migjorn sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (3 points from 6 matches) and Mercadal sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mercadal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 15 | Migjorn | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
A question about Migjorn vs Mercadal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Migjorn vs Mercadal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mercadal the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Migjorn.
- Where and when is Migjorn vs Mercadal played?
- Migjorn vs Mercadal is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.