Formentera vs Santanyí: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, Sant Francesc de Formentera
The Footlab AI model makes Formentera the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Santanyí. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Formentera vs Santanyí?
On Elo ratings, Formentera has 1,882 points and Santanyí 1,788.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Formentera vs Santanyí
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Formentera
Not enough data to predict the Formentera lineup.
Santanyí
Not enough data to predict the Santanyí lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Formentera have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Santanyí have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Formentera wins, 3 draws, 1 Santanyí win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Santanyí 1-1 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Formentera 0-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Santanyí 1-4 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Formentera 3-3 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Formentera 2-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Santanyí 1-0 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Santanyí vs Formentera on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Formentera score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Santanyí score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Formentera | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Santanyí | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Formentera sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (11 points from 6 matches) and Santanyí sit 6th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Santanyí | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Formentera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Formentera vs Santanyí?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Formentera vs Santanyí?
- The Footlab AI model makes Formentera the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Santanyí.
- Where and when is Formentera vs Santanyí played?
- Formentera vs Santanyí is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.