Angoulême vs Châteaubriant: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 13Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Lebon, Angoulême
The Footlab model makes Angoulême the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Angoulême vs Châteaubriant?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Angoulême (1,722) and Châteaubriant (1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Angoulême have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Châteaubriant have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Lorient II(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Chauray(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Bayonne(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Montlouis(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Angoulême win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Châteaubriant win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Châteaubriant 0-0 Angoulême | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Angoulême 2-0 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Châteaubriant vs Angoulême on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Angoulême score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Châteaubriant score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angoulême | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Châteaubriant | 0.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Angoulême sit 4th in National 2 - Group B (3 points from 1 matches) and Châteaubriant sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Angoulême | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Châteaubriant | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Angoulême vs Châteaubriant?
- The Footlab model makes Angoulême the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Châteaubriant.
- Where and when is Angoulême vs Châteaubriant played?
- Angoulême vs Châteaubriant is played on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Lebon, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.