Dinan Léhon vs Saumur: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 13Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Clos Gastel, Dinan
The Footlab model makes Dinan Léhon the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinan Léhon vs Saumur?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Dinan Léhon (1,721) and Saumur (1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinan Léhon have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Saumur have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 6-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Montlouis(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Dinan Léhon win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Saumur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Dinan Léhon 6-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Saumur 2-2 Dinan Léhon | National 2 - Group A |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Dinan Léhon 2-4 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Saumur 1-1 Dinan Léhon | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Dinan Léhon score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Saumur score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinan Léhon | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Saumur | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinan Léhon sit 15th in National 2 - Group B (0 points from 1 matches) and Saumur sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Saumur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Dinan Léhon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinan Léhon vs Saumur?
- The Footlab model makes Dinan Léhon the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Dinan Léhon vs Saumur played?
- Dinan Léhon vs Saumur is played on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Clos Gastel, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.