Châteaubriant vs Les Herbiers: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 14Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Ville en Bois, Châteaubriant
The Footlab AI model makes Les Herbiers the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-1. If Les Herbiers wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,900 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Châteaubriant vs Les Herbiers?
Les Herbiers starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Châteaubriant vs Les Herbiers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Châteaubriant
Not enough data to predict the Châteaubriant lineup.
Les Herbiers
4-3-3- 11A. Vincent
- 13R. Denis
- 17A. Fiquet
- 2B. Brélivet
- 9J. Billy
- 8B. Lebas
- 3A. Tégar
- 4M. Lopy
- 10J. Rissonga
- 14Y. Letard
- 1B. Rempp
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Châteaubriant have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Les Herbiers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Châteaubriant wins, 0 draws, 4 Les Herbiers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Les Herbiers 3-0 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Châteaubriant 0-2 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group A |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Les Herbiers 0-1 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Châteaubriant 1-2 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group B |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Les Herbiers 0-1 Châteaubriant | Coupe de France |
| Aug 8, 2020 | Les Herbiers 2-0 Châteaubriant | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Les Herbiers vs Châteaubriant on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Châteaubriant score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Les Herbiers score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Châteaubriant | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Les Herbiers | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Châteaubriant sit 15th in National 2 - Group B (4 points from 7 matches) and Les Herbiers sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Les Herbiers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 15 | Châteaubriant | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Châteaubriant vs Les Herbiers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Châteaubriant vs Les Herbiers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Les Herbiers the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Châteaubriant.
- Where and when is Châteaubriant vs Les Herbiers played?
- Châteaubriant vs Les Herbiers is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Ville en Bois, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.