Anguiano vs San Marcial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 · Matchday 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Isla Anguiano, Anguiano
The Footlab AI model makes Anguiano the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for San Marcial. The most likely score is 1-1. If Anguiano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,413 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anguiano vs San Marcial?
Anguiano starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Anguiano vs San Marcial
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Anguiano
Not enough data to predict the Anguiano lineup.
San Marcial
Not enough data to predict the San Marcial lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anguiano have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; San Marcial have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Casalarreina(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Agoncillo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pradejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Anguiano win, 0 draws, 1 San Marcial win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | San Marcial 0-2 Anguiano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Anguiano 0-1 San Marcial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: San Marcial vs Anguiano on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Anguiano score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Marcial score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anguiano | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| San Marcial | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anguiano sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (20 points from 11 matches) and San Marcial sit 10th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Anguiano | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 20 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
A question about Anguiano vs San Marcial?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anguiano vs San Marcial?
- The Footlab AI model makes Anguiano the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for San Marcial.
- Where and when is Anguiano vs San Marcial played?
- Anguiano vs San Marcial is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Isla Anguiano, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.