Match

Casalarreina vs River Ebro: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Soto, Haro

CasalarreinaRiver Ebro

The Footlab AI model makes Casalarreina the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for River Ebro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Casalarreina wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Casalarreina vs River Ebro?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Casalarreina (1,588) and River Ebro (1,605).

38%25%37%
Casalarreina winDrawRiver Ebro win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Casalarreina vs River Ebro

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Casalarreina

4-3-3
  1. GGaizka Díaz
  2. AAntonio Iglesias
  3. NN. Bobylov
  1. AArkaitz
  2. IIzan Gamarra
  3. PPablo Cano
  1. RRubén de Porras
  2. AAbderrahman
  3. MMikel García
  4. AAdrián Cerrillo
  1. SSergio Portilla

River Ebro

4-3-3
  1. JJhan Martínez
  2. OOmar Laanaya
  3. AAdrián Montoya
  1. DDani Garrido
  2. RRubén Melero Ladrón
  3. SSolomon Teiko
  1. RRicardo Sáinz
  2. AAyoub Jaouak
  3. ÁÁlvaro Ruiz
  4. MMiguel Sáenz
  1. DDavid Martinez

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casalarreina have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; River Ebro have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Casalarreina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Anguiano(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 18, 2026Haro Deportivo(away)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 11, 2026Alfaro(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 4, 2026Calasancio(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 26, 2026Agoncillo(home)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Oyonesa(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 18, 2026La Calzada(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 8, 2026Pradejón(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 4, 2026San Marcial(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 26, 2026Cenicero(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Casalarreina wins, 1 draw, 3 River Ebro wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 16, 2025Casalarreina 3-1 River EbroTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Dec 5, 2024River Ebro 1-2 CasalarreinaTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Jan 27, 2024Casalarreina 2-2 River EbroTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 10, 2023River Ebro 3-1 CasalarreinaTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Feb 26, 2023River Ebro 3-1 CasalarreinaTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 23, 2022Casalarreina 1-3 River EbroTercera División RFEF - Group 16

Last archived meeting: Casalarreina vs River Ebro on Apr 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Casalarreina score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; River Ebro score 1.0 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Casalarreina1.31.929/1510/15
River Ebro1.02.219/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Casalarreina sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (3 points from 8 matches) and River Ebro sit 17th (4 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17River Ebro71157174
18Casalarreina81076203

A question about Casalarreina vs River Ebro?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Casalarreina vs River Ebro?
The Footlab AI model makes Casalarreina the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for River Ebro.
Where and when is Casalarreina vs River Ebro played?
Casalarreina vs River Ebro is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Casalarreina and River Ebro

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