Ankaragücü vs Serik Spor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Serik Spor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankaragücü vs Serik Spor?
Ankaragücü starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaragücü have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Serik Spor have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | İskenderunspor(home) | 4-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | İnegölspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kepezspor(away) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hatayspor(home) | 4-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 1-6 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ankaragücü win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Serik Spor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2018 | Ankaragücü 2-1 Serik Spor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Ankaragücü vs Serik Spor on Sep 26, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Ankaragücü score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Serik Spor score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Serik Spor | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ankaragücü | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankaragücü vs Serik Spor?
- The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Serik Spor.
- Where and when is Ankaragücü vs Serik Spor played?
- Ankaragücü vs Serik Spor is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Eryaman Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026Fethiyesporvs12 Bingölspor
- Sep 20, 2026KırklarelisporvsBeyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
- Sep 20, 2026İnegölsporvsKaracabey Belediyespor
- Sep 20, 20261461 Trabzon FKvsAnkara Demirspor
- Sep 20, 2026Kütahyasporvs24 Erzincanspor
- Sep 20, 2026Adana 01 FKvsYeni Orduspor
- Sep 20, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal SporvsSakaryaspor