İnegölspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, İnegöl
The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Karacabey Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İnegölspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate İnegölspor (1,756) and Karacabey Belediyespor (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnegölspor have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Karacabey Belediyespor have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 4-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 İnegölspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Karacabey Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor 0-1 İnegölspor | 2. Lig |
| Aug 30, 2025 | İnegölspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Karacabey Belediyespor vs İnegölspor on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karacabey Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İnegölspor | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Karacabey Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
İnegölspor sit 7th in 2. Lig (60 points from 36 matches) and Karacabey Belediyespor sit 13th (41 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | İnegölspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 67 | 44 | 60 |
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İnegölspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Karacabey Belediyespor.
- Where and when is İnegölspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor played?
- İnegölspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.