Annagh United vs Glenavon FC: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)BMG Arena, Portadown
The Footlab model makes Annagh United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Glenavon FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Annagh United vs Glenavon FC?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Annagh United (1,387) and Glenavon FC (1,416).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Annagh United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Glenavon FC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Annagh United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Glenavon FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2023 | Annagh United 1-4 Glenavon FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Glenavon FC 2-1 Annagh United | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Annagh United vs Glenavon FC on Jul 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Annagh United score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Glenavon FC score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annagh United | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Glenavon FC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Annagh United sit 7th in Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Glenavon FC sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Annagh United | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 27 | 71 |
| 4 | Glenavon FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Annagh United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Annagh United vs Glenavon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Annagh United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Glenavon FC.
- Where and when is Annagh United vs Glenavon FC played?
- Annagh United vs Glenavon FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at BMG Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.