Queen's University vs Ballinamallard United: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Queen's University Malone Playing Fields, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Queen's University the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Ballinamallard United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Queen's University vs Ballinamallard United?
Queen's University starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,378 vs 1,211).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Queen's University have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ballinamallard United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Institute(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Institute(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Queen's University win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ballinamallard United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 1-1 Queen's University | Championship |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Queen's University 0-3 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 0-3 Queen's University | Championship |
| Jan 1, 2022 | Ballinamallard United 5-0 Queen's University | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Ballinamallard United 3-0 Queen's University | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Queen's University 0-2 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ballinamallard United vs Queen's University on Dec 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Queen's University score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ballinamallard United score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's University | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ballinamallard United | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Queen's University sit 6th in Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Ballinamallard United sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 57 |
| 6 | Queen's University | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Queen's University | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 47 |
| 9 | Ballinamallard United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 52 | 34 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 60 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Queen's University vs Ballinamallard United?
- The Footlab model makes Queen's University the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Ballinamallard United.
- Where and when is Queen's University vs Ballinamallard United played?
- Queen's University vs Ballinamallard United is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Queen's University Malone Playing Fields, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.