Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Galabank, Annan
The Footlab AI model makes Annan Athletic the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Annan Athletic wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
On Elo ratings, Annan Athletic has 1,448 points and Dumbarton 1,438.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Annan Athletic
4-3-3- 19C. Maxwell
- 9A. Smith
- 18Alistair Roy
- 16S. Buchanan
- 8P. Smith
- 14C. Williams
- 3C. Clark
- 6K. Watson
- 4K. McKnight
- 10T. Muir
- 1C. Albinson
Dumbarton
5-3-2- 21S. Honeyman
- 20Robert James Karl Cleary
- 8J. Todd
- 6O. Hartington
- 10D. Craig
- 24M. Doyle
- 3A. Omar
- 5T. Lang
- 19C. McKenna
- 34T. Robson
- 54M. Munn
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Annan Athletic have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Dumbarton have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 0-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 1-6 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 1-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Annan Athletic wins, 0 draws, 4 Dumbarton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Annan Athletic 2-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Dumbarton 2-1 Annan Athletic | League Two |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Annan Athletic 1-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Dumbarton 2-1 Annan Athletic | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Annan Athletic 3-4 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Dumbarton 3-1 Annan Athletic | League One |
Last archived meeting: Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Annan Athletic score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbarton score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annan Athletic | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Dumbarton | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Annan Athletic sit 10th in League Two (9 points from 10 matches) and Dumbarton sit 6th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Annan Athletic the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Dumbarton.
- Where and when is Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton played?
- Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Galabank, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.