Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Briggs, Elgin
The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,847 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
On Elo ratings, Elgin City has 1,560 points and Kelty Hearts 1,477.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elgin City
3-4-3- 9K. Hester
- 10M. Gallagher
- 11O. Colloty
- 7R. Dingwall
- 22J. Maciver
- 77L. Scullion
- 24Lewis Mackay
- 2M. Neill
- 5K. Girvan
- 6J. Murray
- 1T. Ritchie
Kelty Hearts
4-2-3-1- 29R. Shanley
- 14J. Hislop
- 26R. Cunningham
- 17M. Falconer
- 23L. Moore
- 6A. Ferguson
- 5C. Flatman
- 3C. Hannah
- 22Z. Flatman
- 35J. Brydon
- 1J. Smith
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elgin City have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 0-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stirling University(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Elgin City wins, 2 draws, 1 Kelty Hearts win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Kelty Hearts 0-1 Elgin City | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elgin City 4-1 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Elgin City 3-2 Kelty Hearts | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Kelty Hearts 3-1 Elgin City | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Elgin City 1-1 Kelty Hearts | League Cup |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Elgin City 0-0 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elgin City score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin City | 1.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elgin City sit 3rd in League Two (21 points from 12 matches) and Kelty Hearts sit 5th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elgin City | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 21 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 15 |
A question about Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Kelty Hearts.
- Where and when is Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts played?
- Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Briggs, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.