Annecy vs Metz: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Sports, Annecy
The Footlab model makes Annecy the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Metz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Annecy vs Metz?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Annecy (1,895) and Metz (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Annecy have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Metz have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | PAU(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Nancy(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Annecy win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Metz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Metz 5-1 Annecy | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Annecy 0-0 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Annecy 0-3 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Metz 0-0 Annecy | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Annecy score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Metz score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annecy | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Metz | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Annecy sit 2nd in Ligue 2 (6 points from 2 matches) and Metz sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Annecy | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Metz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Annecy vs Metz?
- The Footlab model makes Annecy the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Metz.
- Where and when is Annecy vs Metz played?
- Annecy vs Metz is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Parc des Sports, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.