Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya
The Footlab model makes Antalyaspor the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for İstanbulspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Antalyaspor (1,795) and İstanbulspor (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antalyaspor have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; İstanbulspor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 4-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-4 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 8-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Antalyaspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 İstanbulspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Antalyaspor 2-2 İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 30, 2023 | İstanbulspor 1-2 Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2023 | İstanbulspor 1-1 Antalyaspor | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2023 | İstanbulspor 3-3 Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Antalyaspor 2-1 İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor on Feb 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Antalyaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; İstanbulspor score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| İstanbulspor | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antalyaspor sit 13th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and İstanbulspor sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor?
- The Footlab model makes Antalyaspor the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for İstanbulspor.
- Where and when is Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor played?
- Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Corendon Airlines Park, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.