İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes İstanbulspor the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Antalyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate İstanbulspor (1,812) and Antalyaspor (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İstanbulspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Antalyaspor have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 8-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 4-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-4 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 İstanbulspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Antalyaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Antalyaspor 2-2 İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 30, 2023 | İstanbulspor 1-2 Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2023 | İstanbulspor 1-1 Antalyaspor | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2023 | İstanbulspor 3-3 Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Antalyaspor 2-1 İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Antalyaspor vs İstanbulspor on Feb 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
İstanbulspor score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Antalyaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Antalyaspor | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
İstanbulspor sit 19th in 1. Lig (1 points from 3 matches) and Antalyaspor sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor?
- The Footlab model makes İstanbulspor the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Antalyaspor.
- Where and when is İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor played?
- İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.