Antequera vs FC Cartagena: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Maulí, Antequera
The Footlab model makes Antequera the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for FC Cartagena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antequera vs FC Cartagena?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Antequera (1,900) and FC Cartagena (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antequera have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; FC Cartagena have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Antequera win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Cartagena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC Cartagena 1-0 Antequera | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Antequera 0-0 FC Cartagena | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: FC Cartagena vs Antequera on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Antequera score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cartagena score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antequera | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Cartagena | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antequera sit 7th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (56 points from 38 matches) and FC Cartagena sit 6th (57 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Cartagena | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 57 |
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 44 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antequera vs FC Cartagena?
- The Footlab model makes Antequera the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for FC Cartagena.
- Where and when is Antequera vs FC Cartagena played?
- Antequera vs FC Cartagena is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Maulí, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.