Antigua GFC vs Municipal: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pensativo, Antigua
The Footlab model makes Antigua GFC the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Municipal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Municipal?
Municipal starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antigua GFC have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Municipal have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | CD Marathon(home) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Guastatoya(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Estelí(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guastatoya(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Verdes(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Antigua GFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Municipal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Antigua GFC 1-0 Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Municipal 4-2 Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Municipal 1-0 Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Antigua GFC 2-0 Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Municipal 2-1 Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Antigua GFC 1-1 Municipal | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Antigua GFC vs Municipal on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Antigua GFC score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Municipal score 2.0 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antigua GFC | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Municipal | 2.0 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antigua GFC sit 5th in Liga Nacional (34 points from 22 matches) and Municipal sit 2nd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 38 |
| 5 | Antigua GFC | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antigua GFC vs Municipal?
- The Footlab model makes Antigua GFC the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Municipal.
- Where and when is Antigua GFC vs Municipal played?
- Antigua GFC vs Municipal is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pensativo, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.