Antoniano vs Mijas Las Lagunas: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, Lebrija
The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Mijas Las Lagunas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antoniano vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Antoniano (1,879) and Mijas Las Lagunas (1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antoniano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mijas Las Lagunas have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Huétor Tájar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD Melilla II(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mijas Las Lagunas score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoniano | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Mijas Las Lagunas | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 40 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antoniano vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
- The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Mijas Las Lagunas.
- Where and when is Antoniano vs Mijas Las Lagunas played?
- Antoniano vs Mijas Las Lagunas is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026Sevilla AtleticovsSanluqueño
- Sep 20, 2026MarbellavsAtlético Central
- Sep 20, 2026BadajozvsReal Betis II
- Sep 20, 2026Linares DeportivovsLas Palmas II
- Sep 20, 2026TamaraceitevsRecreativo Huelva
- Sep 20, 2026Ciudad de LucenavsTenerife II
- Sep 20, 2026XerezvsDon Benito
- Sep 20, 2026Atlético PasovsEstepona