Match

Badajoz vs Real Betis II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz

BadajozReal Betis II

The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Real Betis II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Badajoz vs Real Betis II?

Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,993 vs 1,865).

Badajoz win58 %
Draw25 %
Real Betis II win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Real Betis II have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Badajoz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Cuarte(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Cuarte(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Moralo(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 31, 2026Moralo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 24, 2026Jaraíz(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Real Betis II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026FC Cartagena(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026Tarazona(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026Real Murcia(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 2, 2026Antequera(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 24, 2026Atlético Madrid II(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis II score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Badajoz2.50.786/1510/15
Real Betis II1.71.8211/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Real Betis II.
Where and when is Badajoz vs Real Betis II played?
Badajoz vs Real Betis II is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Badajoz and Real Betis II

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