Where and when is Xerez vs Don Benito played?

Xerez vs Don Benito is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Xerez vs Don Benito: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera

Xerez

Don Benito

The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Don Benito. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Xerez vs Don Benito?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Xerez (1,926) and Don Benito (1,911).

Xerez win45 %

Draw30 %

Don Benito win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Don Benito have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Xerez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portuense(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Conquense(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Ucam Murcia(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Don Benito
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Moralo(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 3, 2026	Diocesano(home)	8-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 26, 2026	Villafranca(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 19, 2026	Jerez(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 12, 2026	Santa Amalia(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Xerez win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Don Benito win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2025	Xerez 2-2 Don Benito	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 1, 2024	Don Benito 0-1 Xerez	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Xerez vs Don Benito on Apr 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Xerez	0.7	0.5	8	4/15	2/15
Don Benito	2.1	0.7	6	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Xerez	34	17	8	9	32	24	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Don Benito?: The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Don Benito.
Where and when is Xerez vs Don Benito played?: Xerez vs Don Benito is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.