AO Itabaiana vs Confiança: result 0-1 and analysis
Sergipano1st Phase - 4Kick-off on January 28, 2020 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Etelvino Mendonça, Itabaiana, Sergipe
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What was the result of AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?
Confiança won 0-1 on January 28, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 9′Renan GorneConfiança (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AO Itabaiana have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Confiança have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2020 | Boca Júnior(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Dorense(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Jan 12, 2020 | América de Pedrinhas(away) | 4-2 | Sergipano |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Ituano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 13, 2019 | Ituano(away) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2020 | ABC(home) | 1-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 21, 2020 | Lagarto(home) | 0-0 | Sergipano |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Frei Paulistano(away) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Jan 12, 2020 | Sergipe(home) | 2-1 | Sergipano |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
AO Itabaiana score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Confiança score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AO Itabaiana | 1.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Confiança | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AO Itabaiana sit 2nd in Sergipano (17 points from 9 matches) and Confiança sit 4th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AO Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Confiança | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy