Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Nicosia: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Apoel Nicosia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Nicosia?
Omonia Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (2,080 vs 1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apoel Nicosia have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Omonia Nicosia have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Apoel Nicosia win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Omonia Nicosia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia 0-3 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia 2-0 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia 1-0 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 2-2 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| May 18, 2025 | Omonia Nicosia 2-1 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 1-1 Omonia Nicosia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Nicosia on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Apoel Nicosia score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia Nicosia score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apoel Nicosia sit 5th in 1. Division (52 points from 36 matches) and Omonia Nicosia sit 1st (87 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 36 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 88 | 24 | 87 |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Nicosia?
- The Footlab model makes Omonia Nicosia the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Apoel Nicosia.
- Where and when is Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Nicosia played?
- Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Nicosia is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.