AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Olympiakos. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
AEK Larnaca starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (2,048 vs 1,770).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 11R. Bajić
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 20J. Repas
- 9Đ. Ivanović
- 6I. Pankov
- 15H. Miličević
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 17K. Pileas
- 23S. Köhler
- 92A. Paleari
Olympiakos
3-4-1-2- 26P. Kynigopoulos
- 15R. Sappinen
- 8Bruno Paz
- 77A. Vrikkis
- 80Miguel Esteves Sancho Pedro
- 6Georgios Okkas
- 10D. Prokop
- 55Henrique Gomes
- 5Eduardo Kunde
- 23M. Pechlivanis
- 1C. Talichmanidis
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Olympiakos have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AEK Larnaca wins, 2 draws, 0 Olympiakos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 1-1 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Olympiakos 1-4 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Jan 20, 2023 | Olympiakos 0-2 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 17, 2022 | AEK Larnaca 4-2 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Olympiakos 0-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Sep 27, 2021 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Olympiakos | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEK Larnaca sit 1st in 1. Division (12 points from 5 matches) and Olympiakos sit 10th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 10 | Olympiakos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
A question about AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Olympiakos.
- Where and when is AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos played?
- AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.