AEL vs Karmiotissa: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab AI model makes AEL the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 1-1. If AEL wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,573 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEL vs Karmiotissa?
AEL starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,840 vs 1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AEL vs Karmiotissa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AEL
4-2-3-1- 77F. Mughe
- 11L. Singh
- 20João Tavares
- 30G. Papageorgiou
- 6D. Zdravkovski
- 19I. Milosavljević
- 23Diogo Gomes
- 33E. Antoniou
- 22K. Neofytou
- 35Sérgio Conceição
- 1S. Kapino
Karmiotissa
4-3-2-1- 9Patrick Luan
- 21P. Psychas
- 8Curtis Yebli
- 20Marios Kokkinoftas
- 77P. Tachtsidis
- 7M. Bajunovic
- 4S. Dembélé
- 6C. Wheeler
- 33Julio Cesar
- 22Rubén García
- 1Nikolaos Giannakopoulos
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Karmiotissa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 0-6 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aris(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AEL wins, 1 draw, 1 Karmiotissa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | AEL 1-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Karmiotissa 2-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Dec 8, 2024 | AEL 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| May 10, 2024 | AEL 4-3 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Karmiotissa 0-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEL | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
AEL score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Karmiotissa score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Karmiotissa | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEL sit 2nd in 1. Division (12 points from 5 matches) and Karmiotissa sit 12th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEL | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about AEL vs Karmiotissa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEL vs Karmiotissa?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEL the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is AEL vs Karmiotissa played?
- AEL vs Karmiotissa is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.