AEL vs Karmiotissa: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab model makes AEL the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEL vs Karmiotissa?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate AEL (1,783) and Karmiotissa (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Karmiotissa have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 6-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AEL win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Karmiotissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | AEL 1-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Karmiotissa 2-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Dec 8, 2024 | AEL 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| May 10, 2024 | AEL 4-3 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Karmiotissa 0-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEL | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Karmiotissa score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Karmiotissa | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEL vs Karmiotissa?
- The Footlab model makes AEL the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is AEL vs Karmiotissa played?
- AEL vs Karmiotissa is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.