Match

Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía

Apoel NicosiaPafos

The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Pafos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Apoel Nicosia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos?

On Elo ratings, Apoel Nicosia has 1,910 points and Pafos 2,015.

44%26%30%
Apoel Nicosia winDrawPafos win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Apoel Nicosia

4-1-4-1
  1. 15F. Pedrozo
  1. 8Dálcio
  2. 18D. Limnios
  3. 9A. Bakasetas
  4. 72A. Barák
  5. 10Marquinhos
  1. 34K. Laifis
  2. 3K. Stafylidis
  3. 25Joan Sastre
  4. 16Álvaro Carrillo
  1. 27V. Belec

Pafos

4-1-4-1
  1. 18Lelê
  1. 30V. Dragomir
  2. 26I. Šunjić
  3. 6Guga
  4. 77João Correia
  5. 12K. Sema
  1. 7Bruno Felipe
  2. 14N. Ioannou
  3. 4David Luiz
  4. 3S. Mmaee
  1. 99R. Majecki

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apoel Nicosia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pafos have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Apoel Nicosia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Omonia Aradippou(away)2-11. Division
Oct 28, 2026Halkanoras(home)5-2Cup
Oct 25, 2026Omonia 29is Maiou(home)4-11. Division
Oct 19, 2026Pafos(away)0-01. Division
Oct 10, 2026Nea Salamis(home)2-11. Division
Pafos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Apollon Limassol(away)2-21. Division
Oct 26, 2026Nea Salamis(away)0-01. Division
Oct 22, 2026Riga(home)1-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 19, 2026Apoel Nicosia(home)0-01. Division
Oct 15, 2026Atalanta(away)1-3UEFA Europa Conference League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Apoel Nicosia wins, 3 draws, 3 Pafos wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Pafos 0-0 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
May 22, 2026Pafos 2-0 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
Apr 26, 2026Apoel Nicosia 3-3 Pafos1. Division
Feb 4, 2026Pafos 2-0 Apoel Nicosia1. Division
Aug 31, 2025Apoel Nicosia 0-1 Pafos1. Division
May 12, 2025Apoel Nicosia 1-1 Pafos1. Division

Last archived meeting: Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia on Oct 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Apoel Nicosia score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Apoel Nicosia1.91.6210/1512/15
Pafos1.31.167/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Apoel Nicosia sit 6th in 1. Division (14 points from 8 matches) and Pafos sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Apoel Nicosia8422181014
7Pafos83419513

A question about Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos?
The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Pafos.
Where and when is Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos played?
Apoel Nicosia vs Pafos is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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