Pafos vs Nea Salamis: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Nea Salamis. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,947 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pafos vs Nea Salamis?
Pafos starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,819).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pafos vs Nea Salamis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pafos
4-3-3- 18Lelê
- 20Biel
- 12K. Sema
- 88Pêpê Rodrigues
- 26I. Šunjić
- 30V. Dragomir
- 14N. Ioannou
- 3S. Mmaee
- 4David Luiz
- 7Bruno Felipe
- 99R. Majecki
Nea Salamis
4-4-1-1- 17Aldair
- 7S. Grandsir
- 71G. Gerolemou
- 6Georgios Christodoulou
- 88Jordi Quintillà
- 10C. Giousis
- 29F. Hanin
- 4P. Artymatas
- 55Sergio González
- 30A. Panagiotou Filiotis
- 1Alberto Varó
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nea Salamis have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | AEL(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | APEA(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 2-4 | 1. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ermis(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pafos wins, 1 draw, 1 Nea Salamis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | Nea Salamis 0-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Pafos 4-0 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Nea Salamis 0-5 Pafos | Cup |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Pafos 0-0 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Nea Salamis 0-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Pafos 1-2 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nea Salamis score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Nea Salamis | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 5th in 1. Division (11 points from 6 matches) and Nea Salamis sit 11th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pafos | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Nea Salamis | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Pafos vs Nea Salamis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pafos vs Nea Salamis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Nea Salamis.
- Where and when is Pafos vs Nea Salamis played?
- Pafos vs Nea Salamis is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.