Pafos vs Nea Salamis: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
The Footlab model makes Pafos the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Nea Salamis. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pafos vs Nea Salamis?
Pafos starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Nea Salamis have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(home) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pafos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nea Salamis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | Nea Salamis 0-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Pafos 4-0 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Nea Salamis 0-5 Pafos | Cup |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Pafos 0-0 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Nea Salamis 0-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Pafos 1-2 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nea Salamis score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Nea Salamis | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 66 | 38 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pafos vs Nea Salamis?
- The Footlab model makes Pafos the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Nea Salamis.
- Where and when is Pafos vs Nea Salamis played?
- Pafos vs Nea Salamis is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.