Apollon Smirnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus: result 0-1 and analysis
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 · Matchday 16Kick-off on December 20, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Georgios Kamaras, Athens
Full time
What was the result of Apollon Smirnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Ethnikos Piraeus won 0-1 on December 20, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Smirnis have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Ethnikos Piraeus have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | Ellopiakos(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Ermis Zoniana(home) | 4-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Ipato(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Chaidari(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Panionios(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | Chaidari(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Panionios(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Atsalenios(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Fostiras(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Agios Nikolaos(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Smirnis score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Piraeus score 1.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Ethnikos Piraeus | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy