Diagoras vs Ethnikos Piraeus: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 8Group 8 - 8Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Diagora, Rodos
The Footlab AI model makes Ethnikos Piraeus the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Diagoras. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ethnikos Piraeus wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,572 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diagoras vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Ethnikos Piraeus starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Diagoras vs Ethnikos Piraeus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Diagoras
4-3-3- 7R. Salinas
- 33M. Manias
- 9T. Lioumis
- 10V. Tsiantoulas
- 21R. Bregu
- 17N. Daoudou M'Sa
- 4K. Chnaris
- 3S. Dimopoulos
- 19T. Olivieri
- 77G. Manolakis
- 75A. Tsilingiris
Ethnikos Piraeus
Not enough data to predict the Ethnikos Piraeus lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 07:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diagoras have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ethnikos Piraeus have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Proodeftiki(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | PAO Rouf(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Afantou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ionikos(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Apollon Smirnis(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Apollon Smirnis(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vyrona(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Egaleo(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Amfiali(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | PAO Rouf(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Diagoras score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Piraeus score 0.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diagoras | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Ethnikos Piraeus | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diagoras sit 9th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (1 point from 2 matches) and Ethnikos Piraeus sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ethnikos Piraeus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Diagoras | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Diagoras vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diagoras vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ethnikos Piraeus the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Diagoras.
- Where and when is Diagoras vs Ethnikos Piraeus played?
- Diagoras vs Ethnikos Piraeus is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Diagora, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.