APR vs Bugesera: result 2-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on January 3, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Full time
What was the result of APR vs Bugesera?
APR won 2-1 on January 3, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APR have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Bugesera have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Muhanga(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Gasogi United(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Gorilla(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Police(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Etincelles(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 19, 2025 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Rayon Sports(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Mukura(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 APR win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bugesera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Bugesera 0-1 APR | National Soccer League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | APR 2-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bugesera 0-0 APR | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2023 | APR 1-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Apr 2, 2023 | APR 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Bugesera 2-1 APR | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
APR score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bugesera score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bugesera | 0.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APR sit 2nd in National Soccer League (68 points from 34 matches) and Bugesera sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 68 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy